MSMpred
Overview
MSMpred is an interactive web application that facilitates the development, validation and interpretation of multistate models for predicting the individual evolution of patients over time.
The application was designed to make advanced multistate modelling accessible to clinicians and researchers without requiring programming expertise, providing an intuitive interface for model fitting, prediction and visualization. :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}
Main Features
- Interactive fitting of multistate models.
- Individual prediction of disease progression.
- Estimation of transition probabilities.
- Dynamic visualization of patient trajectories.
- User-friendly interface for applied researchers.
Applications
MSMpred is particularly useful in diseases where patients progress through different clinical stages over time. Although initially motivated by multiple sclerosis, the methodology is applicable to many chronic diseases and other longitudinal clinical settings. :contentReference[oaicite:2]{index=2}
Publication
Garmendia Bergés L, Cortés Martínez J, Gómez Melis G, et al. MSMpred: interactive modelling and prediction of individual evolution via multistate models. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 2023. :contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}
Availability
- Web application (add link)
- GitHub (add link)
- Documentation (add link)
- Publication: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37226104/
Impact
MSMpred aims to bridge the gap between advanced statistical methodology and clinical practice by providing an accessible environment for multistate modelling. The application promotes reproducible analyses and helps researchers explore disease progression through transparent, interactive visualizations. :contentReference[oaicite:4]{index=4}
